Why We Are Seeing a Growing Disconnect Between Public and Private Space Markets
Private space markets are hotter than ever. Not a whiff of deceleration. The opposite is happening in public space markets.
Private space markets are hotter than ever. Not a whiff of deceleration. The opposite is happening in public space markets.
Total Revenue: $14.6B (+161% YoY). For comparison, the company generated $18.7B of revenue for all of 2025.
Based on conversations we’ve had with both space company executives and investors, there is a clear disconnect in prevailing sentiment on the impending launch crunch.
Thanks to the WSJ, we finally have some concrete numbers on Blue Origin.
Space companies have turned into serial fundraisers, often raising every year like clockwork and never really ever exiting the market.
There is good reason for this.
This content is restricted to subscribers
Space stocks did nothing but go vertical in the first half of the year (many were up well over 100%).
Momentum was driven by SpaceX’s IPO and valuation, increased geopolitical conflict with the war in Iran, orbital-data-center hype, and a broader market pivot from software into hardware businesses.
Introducing the new crop of early-stage space startups.
The year was 1993, and Lockheed was without Martin, Northrop was without Grumman, and Boeing had not yet acquired McDonnell Douglas. The defense industry had a diverse set of suppliers, with over 50 defense primes competing for government contracts.
SpaceX’s IPO prospectus is here.